JSW Steel Q1 Results Review - Revenue Inline; Low Volumes, High Costs Dent Ebitda: Motilal Oswal

Going forward, the brokerage expects JSW Steel’s domestic volumes to improve with increasing capacities, a better product mix, and export opportunities.

(Source: JSW Steel website)

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Motilal Oswal Report

JSW Steel Ltd. posted consolidated revenue of Rs 429 billion (+2% YoY/-7% QoQ), in line with our estimate of Rs 442 billion. Average sellig price for Q1 FY25 stood at Rs 70,168/tonne (-5% YoY and +2% QoQ).

Ebitda was Rs 55 billion (-22% YoY/-10% QoQ) versus our estimate of Rs 63 billion. The sequential decline was largely due to lower volumes and certain one-offs, including inventory valuation impact.

Ebitda/tonne stood at Rs 9,003 (-27% YoY/flat QoQ) versus our estimate of Rs 10,348.

Adjusted profit after tax stood at Rs 8 billion (-64% YoY/-35% QoQ) versus our estimate of Rs 14 billion. Weak operating performance and high tax outgo hit APAT.

Combined crude steel production stood at 6.35 mt (-1% YoY/-6% QoQ). Capacity utilisation at India operations was 87% and was hit by the planned maintenance shutdowns at Dolvi and BPSL. Steel sales volumes came in at 6.12 mt (+7% YoY/-9% QoQ). Export volumes declined 29% YoY and were 10% of India operations in Q1 FY25.

During the quarter, JSW Steel approved the transfer of 30 mtpa Slurry Pipeline undertaking in Odisha to JSW Infrastructure for Rs 17 billion.

Going forward, we expect JSW Steel’s domestic volumes to improve with increasing capacities, a better product mix, and export opportunities. With stable pricing, softening coal and iron ore costs, and improving operational efficiencies, we expect its Ebitda/tonne to improve going forward.

JSW Steel is trading at 6.2 times FY26E EV/Ebitda. We cut our Ebitda estimates by 7%/3% for FY25/FY26. We reiterate our Buy rating with a revised target price of Rs 1,030 (valued at seven times EV/Ebitda on FY26E).

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Motilal Oswal JSW Steel Q1FY24 Results Review.pdf
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Also Read: JSW Steel Q1 Results: Profit Falls 64.3%, Misses Estimates

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