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Motilal Oswal Report
The markets have negotiated critical events such as the General Elections and the Budget with minimal volatility, as every minor dip has been met with robust buying activity. However, as we gaze into the horizon, it appears the waters may get a bit turbulent for Indian equities in the short term.
The recent escalation in the Israel-Iran conflict only adds fuel to the fire of the already simmering geopolitical tensions from the ongoing Russia-Ukraine and Israel-Palestine conflicts.
Uncertainty looms over the outcome of the U.S. presidential elections. The monetary stimulus unleashed by China has sparked a wave of tactical FII outflows from India.
Corporate earnings, after four consecutive years of healthy double-digit growth, are moderating due to pressures from commodities and fading tailwinds from BFSI asset quality improvements.
The earnings revisions have turned adverse, with downgrades exceeding upgrades. Our model portfolio reflects our conviction in domestic structural as well as cyclical themes.
We are over weight on IT, Healthcare, BFSI, consumer discretionary, Industrials, and real estate. We are under weight on metals, energy, and automobiles
Top ideas:
Largecaps –
ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, L&T, HCL Tech, HUL, M&M, Power Grid, Titan, Bharti Airtel, and Mankind Pharma;
Midcaps and Smallcaps –
Indian Hotels, Angel One, Godrej Properties, Persistent Systems, Metro Brands, PNB Housing, Global Health, Cello World, Dixon Tech, and Five Star Business Finance.
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