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ICICI Securities Report
Infosys Ltd. reported strong revenue growth of 3.1% QoQ constant currency in Q2 FY25 led by broad-based growth across verticals. Key positive demand trends:
Discretionary spends continued to improve in BFSI,
double digit QoQ growth in pipeline of small (discretionary) deals (less than $50 million),
all large deals have component of AI-led productivity improvement.
However, except BFSI, clients are largely prioritising cost optimisation over discretionary spends in other verticals. Revenue guidance has been revised to 3.75-4.5% YoY CC versus 3-4% earlier for FY25 given strong growth in Q2, but implies soft H2 factoring in seasonal weakness.
We model 4.5%/8.5%/7% revenue growth and Ebit margin of 20- 22% for FY25/26/27E.
We continue to value Infosys on 27.5 times on Q2 FY26-Q1 FY27E earnings per share of Rs 78 to arrive at target price of Rs 2,140. Retain Add on upbeat guidance and continued improvement in discretionary spends in BFSI.
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