Grasim Industries Q2 Results Review - Impressive Ramp-Up In Paints Segment: ICICI Securities

While the initial aggression may drive-up Ebitda losses, we view it as ‘near-term pain for long-term gain’, says the brokerage.

  (Photo source: Grasim Industries website)

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ICICI Securities Report

Grasim Industries Ltd.’s Q2 FY25 Ebitda, at Rs 3.25 billion, slipped 45% YoY (flat QoQ; being 35% below our forecast) due to –

  1. higher-than-estimated loss for its new business of paints and b2b e-commerce;

  2. loss in textiles and insulators business; and

  3. lower-than-expected profitability for chemicals.

However, on the brighter side, ramp-up of the new paints business was heartening. In just the second quarter, post its maiden foray, paints’ revenues are estimated to have reached ~Rs 4 billion versus our estimate of Rs 810 million in Q1 FY25.

Acknowledging Grasim’s endeavour to grab high-single-digit market share by end-FY25, we revise up our FY26E sales for paints to Rs 40 billion (versus Rs 30 billion earlier). Even as we chop our FY25E/FY26E Ebitda by 31%/21% (to factor in the high Ebitda loss in ramp-up phase), our SoTP-based target price stands revised to Rs 2,731 (Rs 2,600 earlier). We upgrade Grasim to Add (from Hold).

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

ICICI Securities Grasim Q2FY25 Results.pdf
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Also Read: Hero MotoCorp Q2 Results Review - Inline Operating Performance: Motilal Oswal

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