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DRChoksey Research Report
The industry credit growth is expected to moderate to 12% - 14% in FY25E, compared to 16.3% in FY24 on the back of GDP growth expectations of around 6.8% (lower growth on YoY basis), regulatory measures impacting unsecured loans, and a high base effect of FY24.
NIMs are expected to compress further due to rising deposit costs and potential rate cuts anticipated in the latter half of FY25E. This compression may challenge banks' profitability.
Banks are currently trading at 2.1x FY26E, which is lower than their five-year average industry P/B multiple, which is 2.8x.
Top Picks: We remain positive on IndusInd, ICICI Bank and SBI considering their ability to mitigate the macro risks, healthy business momentum, stable asset quality and superior return ratios.
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