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This Article is From Jan 10, 2022

Omicron Poses Downside Risk To GDP Growth Of 9.2% Projected In FY22 First Advance Estimates: ICRA

Omicron Poses Downside Risk To GDP Growth Of 9.2% Projected In FY22 First Advance Estimates: ICRA
A worker wearing a protective mask operates a tape cutting machine while producing adhesive sealing tapes  inside a factory in Sonipat district, Haryana, India. (Photographer: Prashanth Vishwanathan/Bloomberg News)

BQ Blue's special research section collates quality and in-depth equity and economy research reports from across India's top brokerages, asset managers and research agencies. These reports offer BloombergQuint's subscribers an opportunity to expand their understanding of companies, sectors and the economy.

ICRA Research Report

The National Statistical Office has pegged the YoY expansion in gross domestic product and gross value added (at constant 2011-12 prices) at 9.2% and 8.6%, respectively, in the First Advance Estimates for FY22 (our expectation: up 9.0% and up 8.8%, respectively), indicating an implicit GDP growth of 5.6% for H2 FY22.

In our view, after a 6.0-6.5% rise in Q3 FY22, the GDP expansion is set to slip below 5.0% in the ongoing quarter. Amid the ongoing uncertainty, we currently peg the impact of Omicron on GDP growth in Q4 FY22 at around 40 basis points, posing a mild downside to our FY22 GDP growth forecast of 9.0%.

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

DISCLAIMER

This report is authored by an external party. BloombergQuint does not vouch for the accuracy of its contents nor is responsible for them in any way. The contents of this section do not constitute investment advice. For that you must always consult an expert based on your individual needs. The views expressed in the report are that of the author entity and do not represent the views of BloombergQuint.

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