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Oil Prices Swing in Choppy Trading as Hawkish Fed Comments Rein in Crude’s Relief Rally

A softer greenback boosts the appeal of commodities priced in the currency.

Storage tanks at the TotalEnergies SE Leuna oil refinery in Leuna, Germany, on Tuesday, June 7, 2022. TotalEnergies' 240,000 barrels per day Leuna refinery is set to cease importing Russian crude oil via the Druzhba pipeline some time later this year. Photographer: Krisztian Bocsi/Bloomberg
Storage tanks at the TotalEnergies SE Leuna oil refinery in Leuna, Germany, on Tuesday, June 7, 2022. TotalEnergies' 240,000 barrels per day Leuna refinery is set to cease importing Russian crude oil via the Druzhba pipeline some time later this year. Photographer: Krisztian Bocsi/Bloomberg

Oil eked out a small gain for the week, snapping a seven-week losing streak, as signs that the Federal Reserve’s aggressive rate-hiking campaign is over bolstered risk assets.

West Texas Intermediate settled little changed above $71 a barrel in the afternoon. Gains early in the session gave way to a decline of as much as 1.8% on New York Fed President John Williams’ comments that it’s too early for officials to think about cutting rates in March. Oil later pared those losses to post its first positive week since late October.

Crude rallied the most in about a month on Thursday, propelled by broader risk-on sentiment after Chairman Jerome Powell indicated the central bank is turning its focus to when to cut borrowing costs as inflation continues to drop.

Oil Prices Swing in Choppy Trading as Hawkish Fed Comments Rein in Crude’s Relief Rally

That nascent rebound came after a prolonged skid that brought futures to the lowest since June. A surge in exports from non-OPEC countries, including the US, and concerns over weakening demand are pressuring prices, while market participants remain skeptical whether all OPEC members will adhere to the deeper voluntary cuts.

The International Energy Agency on Thursday added to the bearish outlook, slashing its estimates for global oil demand growth this quarter by almost 400,000 barrels a day as economic activity weakens. The Paris-based consumer organization continues to expect growth to almost halve next year, to about 1.1 million barrels a day.

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