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ICICI Securities Report
We resume coverage on Vedanta Ltd. with a Buy rating. We see Vedanta weaving its growth story around two ‘Vs’ and one ‘C’ viz. volume, value, and cost reduction–across segments, especially in its aluminium and Zinc-India divisions.
Key points:
Significant volume growth aspirations for all divisions.
Aluminium/Zinc-India – potentially key earnings growth drivers.
Oil and gas production is likely to bottom up by FY26E.
Growth vectors at Vedanta may help pare debt by $3 billion over the next three years.
Dividend yield could sustain at more than 5% per annum.
Put together, we envisage an Ebitda CAGR of 25% YoY through FY26E and RoE of 40–45% over the next two years.
A SoTP-based valuation arrives at a target price of Rs 600, implying an enterprise value/Ebitda of 5.7 times on FY26E and FY27E blended Ebitda (50% weight each).
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