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ICICI Securities Report
Tata Steel Ltd.'s Q3 FY24 performance was ahead of consensus estimates mainly due to lower cost at standalone operations. Key points:
Standalone Ebitda/tonne at Rs 16,905 was up 19% QoQ mainly on lower raw material cost;
Neelachal Ispat Nigam Ltd.'s turned around posting profit at Ebitda level;
loss at Tata Steel UK widened QoQ owing to continued sub-optimal level of operations;
net debt was broadly stable QoQ driven by good cash generation at India operations; and
capex plan at KPO-II is broadly on track. Going ahead, we expect the structural improvement at Tata Steel UK and production ramp up at TSN to drive performance.
Besides, the incremental volume from KPO-II is likely to drive earnings growth from H2FY25E, in our view.
We maintain 'Add' on Tata Steel stock with an unchanged target price of Rs 150 on 6.0 times FY26E Ebitda.
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