Stocks To Buy: HDFC Bank, Bajaj Finance, Cholamandalam Among Axis Securities' Top Ideas From BFSI Sector

Stocks to Buy: Axis Securities recommends Federal Bank, Nippon Life and more, check target prices.

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Axis Securities Report

HDFC Bank - Buy, target price Rs 2,025

Recommendation Rationale

HDFC Bank Ltd. has re-iterated its stance of reducing its loan-to-deposit to pre-merger levels of mid-to-high 80%. Credit growth slowdown is imperative and the management highlighted that credit growth in FY25E would be below systemic growth. It would pick up in FY26E and be largely in line with systemic growth before accelerating in FY27E.

Thus, the bank aims to reduce its LDR to high-80% over the next two-three years. We factor in a slower credit growth of ~12% CAGR over FY24-27E versus a deposit growth of ~17% CAGR over the same period, thereby enabling HDFC Bank to bring down its LDR to ~90-91% by FY27E.

Bajaj Finance - Buy / target price Rs 7,655

Recommendation Rationale

The near-term challenges on asset quality persist and remain a key monitorable. However, supported by a robust distribution reach facilitating customer growth; omni-channel strategy augmenting market positioning; and diversified portfolio with strong growth in the core products with incremental growth contributed by new business lines, we believe Bajaj Finance Ltd. remains well-placed to steer strong growth over the medium term, alongside maintaining healthy asset quality.

Given expectations of net interest margins stabilizing, improving operational efficiency enabling cost ratio improvement and gradually improving credit costs, we expect Bajaj Finance to deliver a healthy RoA/RoE of 4.4-4.5%/19-22% over FY25-27E.

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Axis Securities Top-Sector-Ideas---BFSI-Q2FY25.pdf
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Also Read: Automobiles Sector Update - Two-Wheelers Continue To Outperform Passenger Vehicles: Motilal Oswal

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