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Systematix Research Report
Orchid Pharma Ltd. reported revenue (Rs 2,227 million, up 12% YoY but down 8.9% QoQ) was lower than expectations (3% lower), while operating Ebitda stood at Rs 303 million, up 30.1% YoY but down 6.6% QoQ. Ebitda and net earnings were higher 22% and 33% respectively versus our expectation led by a 250 bps QoQ gross margin expansion.
Revenue growth for the quarter was lackluster, but growth rates should pick up as multiple new commercialization initiatives should start reflecting in financial performance –
commercialization of the new oral API facility,
Commencement of operations in branded formulation business and
commercialization of Enmetazobactam in Europe and India. From a medium to long term growth perspective, 7-ACA and cefiderocol projects remain on track.
However, US and China commercialization is still awaited. Company is also looking to tap into generic ceftazidime / avibactam market outside the US, as it is working on a non-infringing route to gain an early entry.
We tweak our estimates on Orchid Pharma and introduce FY27 estimates. We roll over to September 2026E EPS and recommend a buy with a target price of Rs 1,823 based on 45 times PE Multiple (50x earlier). FY27 earnings estimates include contribution from government incentives which will have limited longevity.
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