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Nirmal Bang Report
Q1 FY25 is likely to see some disruption due to elections/seasonality. We expect covered housing finance companies to deliver strong loan growth, driven by Housing/loan against property segments.
We prefer Home First Finance Company India Ltd., PNB Housing Finance Ltd. and Repco Home Finance Ltd. as our top ‘buys’ in the space.
While growth in the used commercial vehicle portfolio is expected to support margins for CV Financiers, rating upgrades and NHB refinance will help control the cost of borrowings for HFCs. Opex is likely to remain elevated.
Overall asset quality environment remains benign, with some pockets of stress visible in MFI/Vehicle Financing, particularly post elections.
In our view, following will be the key monitorables from Q1 FY25 results of NBFCs –
FY25 growth guidance,
NIM movement in subsequent quarters,
Asset quality and collection efficiency trends.
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