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Prabhudas Lilladher Report
Marico Ltd. reported inline numbers with surprise on gross margin led by benign input costs and favorable portfolio mix. However we downgrade stock to Hold from Accumulate given-
Peaked out margin with no major expansion expected in near term,
Persistent sluggishness in Parachute/Saffola/value added hair oil (72% of domestic sales),
Growth concerns in Bangladesh given recent turmoil and unrest.
Innovation funnel remains strong with portfolio diversification and scale up in foods, D2C portfolio and B2C acquisitions. Beardo is likely to end FY25 with double-digit Ebitda margins, Marico plans to adopt the same strategy for scaling digital-first franchises and targets double-digit margins by FY27.
We factor in 11.7% sales growth and 10.4% PAT CAGR over FY24-26 We value Marico at 46 times Sep’26 EPS and assign a target price of Rs 681 (Rs 621 earlier).
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