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Nirmal Bang Report
LIC Housing Finance Ltd.’s Q1 FY25 reported set of numbers for net interest income / pre-provision operating profit were lower versus our estimates (-7.0% / -6.5%). Profit after tax saw a beat of 4% due to controlled opex and provisions.
Despite strong disbursements, loan book growth was sluggish (4% YoY). The company is confident of maintaining a double-digit growth in FY25; we build in ~11%.
Q1 FY25 net interest margin stood lower at 2.76% (in line with guidance of 2.7%-2.9%). We anticipate a better trend in subsequent quarters aided by lower cost of fund in H2.
Asset quality was stable with Gross Stage 3 at 3.30%. Expect additional resolutions to come through in FY25.
We adjust our estimates, factoring in lower NIM in Q1. Roll forward our valuation to Jun-26 with a multiple of 1.1x Jun-26 adjusted book value per share (in line with the five-year average) resulting in a target price of Rs 750. Maintain Accumulate.
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