GAIL India Q2 Results Review - Good Show; Positive Outlook; Maintain 'Accumulate': Dolat Capital

The company has maintained its transmission volume guidance of 132/142/152 mmscmd for FY25E / FY26E / FY27E, adds the brokerage.

GAIL India Ltd.'s Hazira flow meter calibration facility. (Source: Company website)

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Dolat Capital Report

GAIL India Ltd.’s Q2 FY25 Ebitda/profit after tax came +3%/+17% above our estimates mainly driven by-

  1. strong performances in petrochemical and OLHC/LPG and

  2. lower tax rate of 23%, jump in other income by 27% YoY and sequential sharp decline in depreciation.

The company has maintained its transmission volume guidance of 132/142/152 million metric standard cubic metre per day for FY25E/FY26E/FY27E. Additionally, gas trading Ebitda guidance has set at Rs 45 billion for FY25, likely to be revised upward in Q3, as the GAIL has already achieved ~75% of Ebitda in H1 FY25.

We tweak our FY25E/FY26E Ebitda estimates by -9%/-7% on account of-

  1. moderated margins assumptions for petrochemical & OLHC; and

  2. slight increase in gas cost for transmission with a cut in trading volume assumptions.

We maintain ‘Accumulate’ rating with revised SoTP-based target price of Rs 235 (earlier Rs 252).

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

Dolat Capital GAIL (India) Q2FY25 Result Update.pdf
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