Chennai Petroleum Q3 Review - Weak Core Performance On Narrowing Of Russian Crude Discounts: Yes Securities

High gross refining margin sensitivity: a $1/bbl change in GRM changes Ebitda by Rs 6.9 billion

Chennai Petroleum Corporation Ltd. (Source: Company website)

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Yes Securities Report

Chennai Petroleum Corporation Ltd.'s FY24 core performance was weak, with an Ebitda of Rs 7.1 billion; $6.2/ barrel of oil of reported gross refining margin (our estimate $8.5) on narrowing Russian crude discounts.

As per our calculations, there is an inventory gain which could be at $0.3/bbl due to higher quantity of crude sourced in August-23 which was cheaper and had higher discounts.

As per our calculations, the RTP reduction of $2/bbl impacted the core GRMs, otherwise the core GRMs could be at $7.9/ bbl.

We maintain 'Buy' rating, with a revised 12-months target price of Rs 1,030 (Rs 1,040 earlier).

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Yes Securities - Chennai Petroleum Q3FY24 Results Review.pdf
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