Building Materials Q3 Results Preview - Margin Expected To Improve, Healthy PAT: Prabhudas Lilladher

We anticipate healthy volume growth ~12% YoY in plastic pipe sector, while tiles and bathware sectors are likely to experience lower growth of 5-7% YoY.

Workers at an under construction building site. (Source: Kenneth Leguizamon / pexels)

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Prabhudas Lilladher Report

Building material companies under our coverage universe are expected to report moderate to strong volume growth even after higher base. We anticipate healthy volume growth ~12% YoY in plastic pipe sector, while tiles and bathware sectors are likely to experience lower growth of 5-7% YoY.

Further we also expect companies to register sales growth of 5.8% YoY, given correction in realisations in plastic pipe segment. With correction in raw material prices and fuel expenses, we expect margins to improve YoY (+190 basis points YoY) along with Ebitda/profit after tax growth of 21.1%/28.9% YoY.

We remain positive on the sector considering-

  1. buoyancy in real estate market,

  2. Government focus on housing, sanitation and infrastructure,

  3. improvement in agri segment with normalisation in raw material prices,

  4. pick-up in exports, and

  5. increase in branded/large players market share.

We prefer woodpanel companies on account of-

  1. stabilisation in timber prices,

  2. possible reduction in MDF imports aided by implementation of BIS norms,

  3. domestic MDF realisation maintained despite capacity increase and

  4. healthy volume growth of 15-20% in MDF.

Our top pick is Greenpanel Industries Ltd. given revenue/Ebitda/profit after tax compound annual growth rate of 15.4%/26.1%/28.9% over FY24-26.

Considering buoyancy in real estate, tiles demand with lag in real estate cycle will benefit Kajaria Ceramics Ltd. (being leader in the sector).

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

Prabhudas Lilladher Building Material Q3FY24 Results Preview.pdf
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Also Read: IT Services Q3 Results Preview - Furloughs, Lower Discretionary Spend To Impact Outlook: IDBI Capital

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