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HDFC Securities Institutional Equities
We maintain a Buy rating on Birla Corporation Ltd. with an unchanged target price of Rs 1,685/share (nine times its Sep-26E consolidated Ebitda).
We interacted with the management to understand market dynamics and Birla Corp’s growth plans. The management noted that Q2 FY25 has been a tough quarter for the industry as a whole, as demand has been poor and cement prices continue to drift lower.
However, it remained upbeat about demand recovery in H2 FY26, as levers remain intact.
Birla Corp is working on expanding its share of green power and alternative fuel usage. It is also accelerating captive coal consumption and streamlining its supply chain logistics. All of these are expected to lower its unit opex by ~Rs 150/million tonne by FY26-end.
Birla Corp’s expansion plans in the central region are on track and it is confident of achieving 25 million metric tonne capacity by FY27-end.
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