Asahi India Q1 Review - Profitability Remains Under Pressure; Valuation Remains Elevated: ICICI Securities

With support from lower soda ash price and stable fuel costs, the brokerage is building in better margin in auto segment, amid improving mix and scale.

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ICICI Securities Report

Asahi India Glass Ltd.’s reported Ebitda margin, at 16.2%, was down 80 basis points QoQ, lower than our estimate of 17.2% due to ~200 bps of one-off items at other expenses level in Q1 FY25. Auto segment Ebit margin was flat QoQ at 11.3%, and architectural segment Ebit margin shrank ~150 bps QoQ at 13.4%.

We have built in Asahi India’s revenue compound annual growth rate at 16% for FY24-26E, with new greenfield plant getting operational from FY26 and Ebitda margin at ~19%/21% for FY25/26E, respectively, assuming reversion in architectural segment margin from current lows.

We have not changed our estimates considering the one-off impact in margins in Q1. Maintain Sell with DCF-based revised target price of Rs 519 (earlier Rs 502), implying 21 times FY26E earnings per share.

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ICICI Securities Asahi India Q1FY25 Results Review.pdf
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Also Read: Emami Q1 Results Review - Favorable Seasonality Aids Growth: ICICI Securities

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