Aavas Financiers - Rate Cut To Support Improvement In Spreads: IDBI Capital

The brokerage revises its estimates upwards slightly and maintain ‘Buy’ rating on the stock with a new target price of Rs 2,190.

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IDBI Capital Report

We met with the management of Aavas Financiers Ltd. and discussed about the business momentum and rate cut impact on margins. Technology up-gradation is almost completed as company went live on loan management channel i.e Oracle Flex cube system; thus focus will be on disbursement growth along with deeper penetration in geographical areas.

This should sustain the guidance of above 20% AUM growth and disbursement growth for FY25. Cost of funds could peak in Q2 FY25 and could see margin accretion of 10-15 basis points in case of a 25-bps repo rate cut by the RBI as EBLR linked (20% repo and 10% T-bill) liabilities will re-price immediately.

Asset quality has remained pristine with 1+ days past due at 3.12% the lowest since inception as of FY24.

We revise estimates upwards slightly and maintain ‘Buy’ with a new target price of Rs 2,190 (earlier Rs 2,110) valuing it at 3.4 times price/adjusted book value FY26E (earlier 3.3 times) as strong AUM growth with best asset quality seems sustainable.

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IDBI Capital Aavas Financiers Update.pdf
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Also Read: Adani Ports - Temporary Volume Hit In H1; Growth Outlook Intact: Motilal Oswal

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