The Reserve Bank of India, over the last two years, has used multiple tools apart from the monetary policy to ensure appropriate liquidity in a slowing Indian economy. Along with the government, it played an active part in pulling the country’s financial sector out of bad loan and liquidity crises, all the while keeping inflation within the mandated range.
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In this conversation with BloombergQuint, RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das delves into the central bank’s priorities, the nation’s economy, domestic banks, regulations and the way forward.
Watch the conversation here:
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Here are the key highlights from the interview:
RBI’s Top Priorities At This Juncture
- A central bank like Reserve Bank has multifarious responsibilities
- RBI’s domain much wider than Bank of England or U.S. Federal Reserve
- Main focus is maintaining financial stability, supporting growth and price stability
- Focus is also on sharpening regulation and supervisory functions
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Is Any SBI-Yes Bank Move Due To An RBI Nudge?
- Do not wish to comment on a media report
- RBI remains committed that financial and banking system is strong and stable
- Banking system remains safe and stable
Also Read: Government Puts Yes Bank Under Moratorium, RBI Supersedes Board, Withdrawals Capped At Rs 50,000
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The Many Accidents In The Financial Sector
- Government's capital infusion helped addressing the challenges that AQR brought on public sector banks
- Challenges from AQR largely addressed, NPA picture now better than what it was in 2014-2015
- Have frequently issued guidelines to improve governance in public and private sector
- Have stepped up the depth and quality of RBI’s supervision of banks
- Hope to issue more guidelines on governance of public and private sector banks
- Bank governance guidelines currently work-in-progress
- Have identified some areas that need improvement over the last 18 months
Remaining Risks To NBFCs
- Have only recently begun regulating housing finance companies
- Remain in constant contact with National Housing Bank
- NHB will bring any areas of concern to RBI’s notice
- Some HFCs coming out of difficulty, need to raise capital to improve liquidity
- Risk to system from housing finance companies is now much less
Improving RBI’s Supervisory System
- First layer of fraud control remains with the regulated entity
- RBI is not sitting at the financial entity round the clock monitoring each operation
- RBI expects bank and NBFC managements to have robust internal mechanisms to check fraud
- Have to ensure that same kind of fraud is not repeated, in that organisation or elsewhere
Will Higher Penalties Deter Fraud?
- RBI’s enforcement department has imposed big amounts as penalties
- RBI’s penalty on listed bank or NBFCs comes with reputational impact
Will Covid-19 Delay The Recovery?
- Definitely see global growth being pulled down due to coronavirus outbreak
- SARS pulled China’s growth down by 1% at a time when China was far less vital to world economy
- Don’t think IMF’s current 0.4% growth impact projection is the final word on coronavirus hit
- India more integrated to global economy than during SARS
- But India is still not a major part of global value chain
- Growth impact on India may not be as much as it is in some other countries
- Some growth impact on sectors in trade and manufacturing, which have large interlinkage with China
- Will be in better position to assess growth impact of coronavirus by the time of the next MPC meet
Does RBI Need To Make An Emergency Move?
If required, the RBI will act as and when required and as in the past, the RBI will be proactive and act in time.Shaktikanta Das, Governor, RBI
What’s Led To This Stretch Of Low-Growth?
- Have been in a period of low growth around the world
- Twin balance-sheet problem, bank stress, IL&FS crisis successively weighed down on economy
- Just as things were beginning to look up, we now have the coronavirus problem
- Have seen sentiment turning negative due to coronavirus, In India and around the world
- Seeing greater coordination among governments and central banks
India’s Home-Grown Growth Hurdles
- Series of government measures over last year have tried to address some domestic factors that hurt growth
- Expect this Rabi season to be a bumber crop, will contribute to rural incomes
- Low food inflation has meant lower farm incomes, some increase there might mean better incomes
- Do see some improvements in some sectors, but too early to say demand has revived
- Need to wait for green shoots to be visible in some areas to conclude that things are improving
Dichotomy Between MPC & RBI Messages?
- MPC focused on growth too, no dichotomy between thinking of RBI and MPC
- Measures taken in last MPC was mainly to ensure better transmission
- Aim of last MPC’s moves was not any sort of ‘yield management’
- Effort was to ensure transmission of policy rate reduction to corporate bond market
- Yields have come down ‘in the process’, not the primary aim
Aim Of RBI’s LTRO
- LTRO done to ensure better monetary policy transmission & credit flow
- CRR dispensation also done for better credit flow, reduce banks’ cost of funds
RBI’s Toolkit Going Into The Next MPC Meet
- MPC will decide what to do when it meets, central bank always has several tools
Is RBI Stepping In Where The MPC Isn’t?
- MPC has a defined mandate, all else that’s been done is not in its domain
- MPC does not go into the liquidity framework, hence was ‘Part-B’
Full Service Versus Focused Central Bank
- RBI has been mandated to undertake several responsibilities
- Inflation management is one of the important objectives, but there are others too
Supreme Court Strikes Down RBI’s Cryptocurrency Circular
- Studying Supreme Court’s order, it has clearly upheld RBI’s regulatory powers
- Will decide on way forward on crypto after thorough examination
- RBI to set up an exclusive fintech department to give focus on digital transactions & technology
Intense Competition In The Payments Space
- RBI keeping track of what is happening in the payment space
- Government has already issued guidelines for those that are in e-commerce
- Will watch and, if required, intervene at the appropriate time
- Should not kill something new that’s happening right on day-one
- Expect those whose capital is in the payment space to be responsible with it
New Umbrella Entity For Retail Payments
- Want to disperse any concentration risk in retail payments
- Want to ensure right amount of competition in retail payment framework
- Need ‘a few more players’ besides NPCI
Experiments With ‘Digital Banks’
- See ‘digital banks’ happening, now or in the future
- Doing KYC, application, and subsequent lending can happen digitally
‘RBI’s Reputation Remains Intact’
- Would not agree with assessment that RBI has lost its ‘pristine image’
- Have seen bank failures happen frequently in U.S. but never in India
- A major bank has never been allowed to collapse in India
- Last 4-5 years has had challenges, institution’s response is what’s important
- RBI has responded to all the challenges that have come before it
- Response to 2008 crisis or 2013 taper tantrum can’t be weighed as ‘reputational risk’
- Even today, RBI enjoys a lot of trust and public confidence
- Seeing RBI ready react to coronavirus, did to growth slump, NBFC crisis, post-AQR
- As an organisation, RBI’s reputation and robustness remain intact