Nuvama Group's analysis of the exports data of 21 pharma companies in February indicates improved traction, which is evident in the 32% year-on-year and 37% month-on-month cumulative growth.
This is a sharp contrast to the 8% YoY decline in January. The cumulative growth for the first two months of the fourth quarter and 11 months of the current financial year is 12% and 4% respectively. Excluding Divi's Laboratories Ltd. and Laurus Labs Ltd., the growth is 19% and 11% respectively, it said in a note.
Key Highlights
Nuvama sees sustained growth momentum in key oral players, such as Ajanta Pharma Ltd., which saw export growth of over 45%. Alembic Pharmaceuticals Ltd. had a growth of over 39%, followed by Alkem Laboratories Ltd. with an export growth of 65% and Granules India Ltd. with an over 30% growth.
After a sharp dip in January, Divi's exports recovered to $78 million, a 51% YoY and 118% month-on-month growth. Top five products accounted for 40% of exports, which includes sacubitril/valsartan, naproxen, dextromethorphan, Iopamidol and valsartan.
For Lupin Ltd., exports surged 51% YoY, but slid 20% quarter-on quarter. Nuvama sees no offtake of gSpiriva in February, saying it had been on a consistent decline since October.
Ajanta Pharma Ltd.'s exports shot up 45% YoY and 22% month on month, led by both US and Asia. The January–February data indicate 24% and 54% growth in Asia and the US respectively.
Syngene International Ltd. saw a steep fall due to lower shipments to Zoetis. Revenue from Zoetis was $1.9 million versus $19 million in January. On a year-to-date basis, Syngene’s exports are up 164% to $122 million, out of which Zoetis contributed $81.5 million — 67% of the total exports during this period.
GRevlimid is expected to aid Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd., Zydus Lifesciences Ltd. and Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. Largest offtake was seen in Sun Pharma ($142 million) followed by Zydus ($83 million) and Aurobindo ($33 million). GRevlimid is missing from the shipments of the other gRevlimid makers.
Excluding revlimid, Zydus was still strong and showed its exports are tracking at 11% quarter on quarter based on January–February. Sun Pharma and Dr Reddy's Laboratories Ltd. witnessed a QoQ decline of 13% and 23% respectively.