Trade Setup For Nov. 8: Nifty 50 Faces Resistance At 24,500
Market analysts from Kotak Securities and Progressive Shares caution that a failure to sustain above 24,500 could lead to further corrections, highlighting key support levels at 23,800 and 23,500.
Until Nifty 50 does not cross the 24,500 mark, the market may remain weak and re-test the levels of 24,000 or 23,900, according to Shrikant Chouhan, head of equity research at Kotak Securities.
Shrikant Chouhan said that if the 23,800 level of the Nifty gets rejected, then it may see a quick sell-off towards 23,500, which has the support of a 200-day SMA.
“The strategy should be to reduce weak long positions if the indices break the 23,800 levels. For Bank-Nifty, support exists at 51,500, below which it can again fall to 51,200. On the higher side, 52,200 would offer resistance to the bulls,” he said.
On the daily chart, the Nifty 50 has formed a bearish engulfing pattern, according to Aditya Gaggar, Director of Progressive Shares.
“But it appears that it (Nifty) is forming a right shoulder of an inverted head and shoulder formation with a neckline being placed at 24,500, which is also immediate resistance, while on the lower side, a psychological level of 24,000 will serve as a support,” he added.
In the immediate term, we expect the index (Nifty) will consolidate in the range of 23,800 to 24,700. Hrishikesh Yedve, AVP technical and derivatives research at Asit C. Mehta Investment Intermediates Ltd.
“A decisive breakout on either side will determine the next direction of the index. Until then, traders should aim to buy near support and sell near resistance,” he said.
FII/DII Activity
Overseas investors remained net sellers of Indian equities for the 29th consecutive session on Thursday, while domestic institutional investors also stayed net buyers.
Foreign portfolio investors sold stocks worth Rs 4,888.77 crore while DIIs mopped up stocks worth approximately Rs 1,786.70 crore, according to provisional data from the National Stock Exchange.
F&O Cues
The Nifty November futures were down by 1.24% to 24,300 at a premium of 101 points, with the open interest up by 3.03%.
The Nifty Bank November futures were up by 0.9% to 52,199 at a premium of 283 points, while its open interest was up 2%.
The open interest distribution for the Nifty 50 Nov. 14 expiry series indicated most activity at 26,900 call strikes, with the 22,250 put strikes having maximum open interest.
For the Bank Nifty options expiry on Nov. 13, the maximum call open interest was at 60,000 and the maximum put open interest was at 49,000.
Market Recap
The NSE Nifty 50 and the BSE Sensex snapped a two-day rally and settled over 1% lower on Thursday, tracking losses in ICICI Bank Ltd. and Reliance Industries Ltd. The Indian benchmarks were also one of the worst-performing indices as compared to Asian peers.
The Nifty 50 closed 284.70 points or 1.16%, down at 24,199.35, while the Sensex ended 836.34 points or 1.04%, lower at 79,541.79.
Stocks In The News
Reliance Power: The company has called SECI's decision to bar it from bidding for three years a result of fraud, forgery, and criminal conspiracy. It filed a case with the Economic Offences Wing on Oct. 16 and plans to legally challenge SECI's order.
ITI: The company with the consortium partner has emerged as the lowest bidder for Rs 3,022 crore for the BharatNet project.
Brigade Enterprise: The company has signed JD pact to develop 1 million sq.ft residential apartment in Chennai. The project will have a gross development value of Rs 800 crore.
Money Market
The Indian rupee ended at a fresh record low on Thursday after having opened marginally stronger amid a surge in the dollar index during overnight trade as Donald Trump’s victory might lead to higher US interest rates, aggressive policies, and tariff threats.
The domestic currency depreciated 9 paise to close at Rs 84.376 after opening 2 paise stronger at Rs 84.26 on Thursday. It closed at Rs 84.28 on Wednesday, according to Bloomberg data.
