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Japan’s 10-Year Government Yield Tumbles As Global Bonds Rally

Japan’s benchmark 10-year bond yield fell to its lowest since April as the global bond rally accelerated following poor economic data in the US that’s spurred traders to bet big on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy easing.

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) headquarters in Tokyo, Japan, on Wednesday, July 31, 2024. The Bank of Japan raised its benchmark interest rate and unveiled plans to halve its bond purchases in actions that underscore its determination to normalize policy. Photographer: Akio Kon/Bloomberg
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) headquarters in Tokyo, Japan, on Wednesday, July 31, 2024. The Bank of Japan raised its benchmark interest rate and unveiled plans to halve its bond purchases in actions that underscore its determination to normalize policy. Photographer: Akio Kon/Bloomberg

Japan’s benchmark 10-year bond yield fell to its lowest since April as the global bond rally accelerated following poor economic data in the US that’s spurred traders to bet big on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy easing. 

The yield on the 10-year government bond dropped 17 basis points to 0.785% on Monday after US employment figures piled onto a string of data pointing to an economic slowdown. Yields on Treasuries across the curve declined Friday on the labor numbers, then tumbled again Monday. A circuit breaker was triggered for Japanese government bonds after the 5-year and 7-year yields also fell. 

Fears of an economic slump has led to a bond-market rally as traders bet that the Fed will need to start cutting rates soon, especially after central banks in Canada and Europe began to ease policy. Japanese and US stock prices have also plunged, adding to the demand for government bonds. 

Japan’s 10-Year Government Yield Tumbles As Global Bonds Rally

Still, the latest moves are “likely to be pushed back due to the BOJ’s additional rate hike as well as caution ahead of the 10-year JGB auction tomorrow,” said Makoto Suzuki, a senior bond strategist at Okasan Securities Group.

(Updates with chart and more details)

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