Maharashtra Exit Poll Results 2024 Live: Mahayuti To Return With BJP Near 100; NDA Has Edge In Jharkhand

Maharashtra Poll Of Polls 2024:

• Mahayuti/NDA: 153

• Maha Vikas Aghadi/INDIA bloc: 126

• Others: 9

Jharkhand Poll of Polls 2024:

• NDA: 39

• INDIA Bloc: 38

• Others: 4

Exits polls by Dainik Bhaskar predict a hung assembly in Jharkhand with the NDA marginally ahead of the INDIA coalition. Its too close to call in the eastern state.

In a house of 81, the majority mark is 41.

• BJP+: 37-40

• JMM+: 36-39

• Others: 0-2

An outlier so far, exits polls by Dainik Bhaskar predicts the opposition Maha Vikas Aghadi securing a win in Maharashtra. Notably, the other category which includes several party rebels standing as independents has a higher share.

In a house of 288, the majority mark is 145.

• Mahayuti: 125-140

• Maha Vikas Aghadi: 135-150

• Others: 20-25

Exit polls by Chanakya Strategies shows the Mahayuti forming the government in Maharashtra with a simple majority.

In a house of 288, the majority mark is 145.

• Mahayuti: 152-160

• Maha Vikas Aghadi: 130-138

• Others: 6-8

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Exit polls by P-Marq shows no political party or alliance securing a simple majority on its own, even as the Mahayuti is in lead.

In a house of 288, the majority mark is 145.

• Mahayuti: 137-157

• Maha Vikas Aghadi: 126-146

• Others: 2-8

Jharkhand Exit Poll Results 2024: Axis My India predicts the Jharkhand Mukti Morcha-led INDIA bloc returning to power.

In a house of 81, the majority mark is 41.

• BJP+: 25

• JMM+: 53

• Others: 3

Exit polls by Lokshahi Marathi-Rudra shows no political party or alliance securing a simple majority on its own, even as the Mahayuti is in lead.

In a house of 288, the majority mark is 145.

• Mahayuti:  128-142

• Maha Vikas Aghadi: 125-140

• Others: 18-23

In house of 81, the majority mark is 41. Matrize expects the BJP winning a simple majority on its own, while the ruling JMM getting trounced.

• BJP: 42-47

• JMM: 12 - 17

• Congress: 4-9

• AJSUP: 2-7

• Others: 1-4

Jharkhand Exit Poll Results 2024: Matrize predicts the BJP-led NDA clinching the state with a majority.

In a house of 81, the majority mark is 41.

• BJP+: 42–47

• JMM+: 25 –30

• Others: 1-4

Maharashtra Exit Poll Results 2024: Matrize predicts Mahayuti returning to power.

In a house of 288, the majority mark is 145.

• Mahayuti: 150-170

• Maha Vikas Aghadi: 110-130

• Others: 8-10

Maharashtra Exit Poll Results 2024: Peoples Pulse predicts Mahayuti winning majority.

In house of 288, the majority mark is 145.

• Mahayuti: 182

• Maha Vikas Aghadi: 97

• Others: 9

The BJP was the single largest party in the last two Maharashtra assembly elections. It scored a big win in 2014, but then saw a dip five years later.

The undivided Shiv Sena and NCP made gains in 2019, however the Congress remained static in the two elections in terms of seats won.

The Mahayuti of BJP, Shiv Sena and NCP lagged in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. The alliance won only 17 of the 48 seats in the state, while the MVA bloc bagged 30.

In terms of vote share, the Mahayuti managed to have a marginal edge over the opposition.

Unexpectedly, the Congress emerged as the party number one in the parliamentary elections while the BJP sank below 10.

News outlets and television channels will be able to share their exit polls' data on November 20 after 6:30 pm, after the end of voting for all 288 seats.

Exit polls results will be streamed after 6:30 p.m. You can watch the exit polls live on NDTV Profit's website, YouTube channel, and all social media handles. Maharashtra elections' exit poll live updates will also be available on all the NDTV Group channels.

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The voting for Jharkhand Assembly election has ended. Those standing in line will be allowed to complete voting. The poll officials will then wrap up the process.

The voting for Maharashtra Assembly election has ended. Those standing in line will be allowed to complete voting. The poll officials will then wrap up the process.

Exit polls are surveys conducted right after people cast their votes and leave polling stations. They aim to predict the outcome of an election before the official result is released. These exit polls involve a sample of voters who are asked about their voting choices. Exit polls can offer key insights into the voting pattern and highlight top trends, though it’s not the actual polls result. Though they are not official, exit polls act as a popular indicator of voter sentiment.

The Lok Sabha exit polls in Maharashtra went for a throw when the results arrived in June.

The National Democratic Alliance was projected to win a larger number of seats in Maharashtra on the back of the Bharatiya Janata Party retaining its turf, even as allies Shiv Sena and Nationalist Congress Party contend with losses.

As per five exit polls, the NDA was expected to win more than 30 seats out of 48 in Maharashtra. The opposition INDIA bloc that counts the Congress, Shiv Sena (UBT) and NCP (Sharad Pawar) was likely to secure at least 15 seats.

At the end, the MVA scored a big win when results came, securing 31 seats, while the Mahayuti got pushed to 17.

As per the latest Election Commission data available at 5:00 p.m., here's the voter turnout in Maharashtra and Jharkhand:

• Maharashtra Turnout (Provisional): 58.22%

• Mumbai City Turnout (Provisional): 49%

• Jharkhand Second Phase Turnout (Provisional): 67.6%

All the latest updates here.

"I am not against psephology; it's a science that deserves study," Devendra Fadnavis said, emphasising that exit polls reveal valuable insights into the accuracy of electoral predictions. He acknowledged that while statistical models like psephology are valuable, they’re most effective when the political undercurrent is clear.

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As per the latest Election Commission data available at 3:00 p.m., here's the voter turnout in Maharashtra and Jharkhand:

• Maharashtra Turnout (Provisional): 45.5%

• Mumbai Turnout (Provisional): 39.34%

• Jharkhand Second Phase Turnout (Provisional): 61.5%

All the latest updates here.

Voting for the Maharashtra and Jharkhand Assembly elections will end at 6 p.m. Voters in line will be allowed to cast their vote.

As per election rules, the exit polls can only be released after voting ceases. So, the first trends is expected to arrive by 6:30 p.m.

Maharashtra voted in a single phase for its 288 assembly seats on Wednesday, while Jharkhand had two rounds with the first one on Nov. 13. The number of constituencies is 81.

All the latest updates here.